- Consulting Editors
- List of Contributors
- The Macroeconomics of Global Warming
- Improving Climate Projections to Better Inform Climate Risk Management
- Energy Balance Climate Models, Damage Reservoirs, and The Time Profile of Climate Change Policy
- Economics of Environmental Regime Shifts
- Policy Scenarios in a Model of Optimal Economic Growth and Climate Change
- Adaptive Model-Predictive Climate Policies in a Multicountry Setting
- Prospects of Tools from Differential Games in the Study of Macroeconomics of Climate Change
- Fairness in Climate Negotiations: A Meta-Game Analysis Based on Community Integrated Assessment
- Climate Change and Second-Best Abatement in a Multiregion World with Endogenous Growth
- Global Warming and R&D-Based Growth in a Trade Model between Environmentally Sensitive and Environmentally Neglectful Countries
- Climate Change and Intergenerational Well-Being
- The Atmosphere as a Global Commons
- The Social Cost of Carbon
- Climate-Friendly Technological Change for Developing Countries
- Renewable Energy: Models, Implications, and Prospects
- Emission Trading Systems and Technological Innovation: A Random Matching Model
- The Reality of Nuclear Power: The Fukushima Experience and Its Impact
- Forecast-Based Pricing of Weather Derivatives
- Employment and Output Effects of Climate Policies
- Macroeconomic Effects of Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Policies with a Focus on Germany
- Stabilization of Earth’s Climate in the 21st Century by the Stabilization of Per Capita Consumption
- Does the Kyoto Protocol Intensify Carbon Leakage to China?
- Climate Thresholds, Weather Extremes, and Catastrophic Losses
- Climate Impacts on Agriculture: A Challenge to Complacency?
- The Legal Framework of Global Environment Governance on Climate Change: A Critical Survey
- Environment and Development Challenges: The Imperative of a Carbon Fee and Dividend
- The Need for Sustainable Development and a Carbon Market: Avoiding Extinction
- Name Index
- Subject Index
Abstract and Keywords
This chapter describes and applies criteria for assessing the usefulness of climate projections to inform risk management decisions. In particular, we discuss climate projections in terms of whether they represent decision-relevant climate properties, time scales, and uncertainties. We focus on two decision problems outlined in the introduction: the design of climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies. We argue that although climate projections have seen drastic improvements in the last few years, they still show considerable limitations in the projection of decision-relevant metrics, are often silent on decision-relevant time scales, and neglect potentially crucial uncertainties. We close with a brief outline of potential research opportunities.
Klaus Keller, Associate Professor of Geosciences, Department of Geosciences and Earth and Environmental Systems Institute, Pennsylvania State University.
Robert Nicholas, Managing Director, Network for Sustainable Climate Risk Management (SCRiM), Research Associate, Earth & Environmental Systems Institute, Pennsylvania State University.
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