- OXFORD LIBRARY OF PSYCHOLOGY
- [UNTITLED]
- Oxford Library of Psychology
- About the Editor
- Contributors
- Conceptual Outline of the Handbook of Assessment and Selection
- A History of Personnel Selection and Assessment
- Individual Differences
- The Social and Organizational Context of Personnel Selection
- Employee Recruitment: Current Knowledge and Suggestions for Future Research
- The Concept of Validity and the Process of Validation
- Job Analysis for Knowledge, Skills, Abilities, and Other Characteristics, Predictor Measures, and Performance Outcomes
- Organizational Strategy and Staffing
- Meta-Analysis as a Validity Summary Tool
- Cognitive Abilities
- Nature and Use of Personality in Selection
- Person–Environment Fit in the Selection Process
- The Assessment of Physical Capabilities in the Workplace
- Using Composite Predictors in Personnel Selection
- The Selection Interview from the Interviewer and Applicant Perspectives: Can't Have One without the Other
- Background Data: Use of Experiential Knowledge in Personnel Selection
- Simulations
- Individual Psychological Assessment
- Self-Reports for Employee Selection
- Predictive Bias in Work and Educational Settings
- Web-Based Assessments
- Supervisory Performance Ratings
- The Use of Objective Measures as Criteria in I/O Psychology
- A Review of Citizenship and Counterproductive Behaviors in Organizational Decision-Making
- Assessment of Voluntary Turnover in Organizations: Answering the Questions of Why, Who, and How Much
- Adaptive Performance and Trainability as Criteria in Selection Research
- Occupational Safety
- Applicant Reactions to Testing and Selection
- Multilevel Selection and the Paradox of Sustained Competitive Advantage
- Legal Constraints on Personnel Selection Decisions
- Time in Personnel Selection
- Personnel Selection across the Globe
- Employee Value: Combining Utility Analysis with Strategic Human Resource Management Research to Yield Strong Theory
- “Retooling” Evidence-Based Staffing:Extending the Validation Paradigm Using Management Mental Models
- Workplace Diversity
- Team Selection
- Selection Out: How Firms Choose Workers to Lay Off
- Contingent Workers: Who Are They and How Can We Select Them for Success?
- Implementation Issues in Employee Selection Testing
- The Life Cycle of Successful Selection Programs
- Theoretical and Practical Issues: Research Needs
- Index Note: Page numbers followed by “f” and “t” refer to figures and tables, respectively.
Abstract and Keywords
In this chapter we review the research and concept of predictive bias, present a new theory of when and how predictive bias will occur, and create a list of methodological and substantive confounds that complicate research on predictive bias. We note that educational and organizational researchers have often used different methods to operationalize the same concept in academic and work settings, respectively. We review these approaches and recommend a modified method based on the examination of regression plots and residuals. A new theory is presented that addresses how and when predictive bias would occur using the existing definition (i.e., the Cleary Model). Theoretically, we suggest that a performance determinants framework provides a good foundation for understanding how and when predictive bias can occur. We illustrate key concepts in our theory using existing research. We suggest that the nature of predictive bias is dependent on the reason a predictor is correlated with subsequent performance. We then use this theory to guide a review of previous research testing for the presence of predictive bias across a range of personnel selection and academic admissions tools. Although much of the literature indicates that professional selection tools are unbiased for native speakers of English in the U.S., the most troubling finding is the scarcity of information for many of the most popular selection and admissions tools.
Keywords: predictive bias, personnel, selection, cleary model, performance, assessment
Nathan R. Kuncel, Department of Psychology, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN
David M. Klieger, Educational Testing Service, Princeton, NJ
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- OXFORD LIBRARY OF PSYCHOLOGY
- [UNTITLED]
- Oxford Library of Psychology
- About the Editor
- Contributors
- Conceptual Outline of the Handbook of Assessment and Selection
- A History of Personnel Selection and Assessment
- Individual Differences
- The Social and Organizational Context of Personnel Selection
- Employee Recruitment: Current Knowledge and Suggestions for Future Research
- The Concept of Validity and the Process of Validation
- Job Analysis for Knowledge, Skills, Abilities, and Other Characteristics, Predictor Measures, and Performance Outcomes
- Organizational Strategy and Staffing
- Meta-Analysis as a Validity Summary Tool
- Cognitive Abilities
- Nature and Use of Personality in Selection
- Person–Environment Fit in the Selection Process
- The Assessment of Physical Capabilities in the Workplace
- Using Composite Predictors in Personnel Selection
- The Selection Interview from the Interviewer and Applicant Perspectives: Can't Have One without the Other
- Background Data: Use of Experiential Knowledge in Personnel Selection
- Simulations
- Individual Psychological Assessment
- Self-Reports for Employee Selection
- Predictive Bias in Work and Educational Settings
- Web-Based Assessments
- Supervisory Performance Ratings
- The Use of Objective Measures as Criteria in I/O Psychology
- A Review of Citizenship and Counterproductive Behaviors in Organizational Decision-Making
- Assessment of Voluntary Turnover in Organizations: Answering the Questions of Why, Who, and How Much
- Adaptive Performance and Trainability as Criteria in Selection Research
- Occupational Safety
- Applicant Reactions to Testing and Selection
- Multilevel Selection and the Paradox of Sustained Competitive Advantage
- Legal Constraints on Personnel Selection Decisions
- Time in Personnel Selection
- Personnel Selection across the Globe
- Employee Value: Combining Utility Analysis with Strategic Human Resource Management Research to Yield Strong Theory
- “Retooling” Evidence-Based Staffing:Extending the Validation Paradigm Using Management Mental Models
- Workplace Diversity
- Team Selection
- Selection Out: How Firms Choose Workers to Lay Off
- Contingent Workers: Who Are They and How Can We Select Them for Success?
- Implementation Issues in Employee Selection Testing
- The Life Cycle of Successful Selection Programs
- Theoretical and Practical Issues: Research Needs
- Index Note: Page numbers followed by “f” and “t” refer to figures and tables, respectively.