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date: 01 October 2020

Abstract and Keywords

This article aims to provide the basics any risk manager should know on the modelling of external events, and this from a past–present–future research perspective. Such events are often also referred to as low-probability events or rare events. The article is organised as follows. Section 2 starts with an overview of the credit risk-specific issues within Quantitative Risk Management and shows where relevant Extreme Value Theory-related questions are being asked. Section 3 presents the one-dimensional theory of extremes, whereas Section 4 is concerned with the multivariate case. Section 5 discusses particular applications and gives an outlook on current research in the field, while Section 6 concludes.

Keywords: external events modelling, credit risk, quantitative risk management, extreme value theory

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