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date: 21 November 2019

Abstract and Keywords

This article focuses on the forecasting of national GDP measures at long horizons, and argues that demography should be taken into account. It is organized as follows. Section 2 provides a brief discussion of some crucial theoretical issues for forecasting growth. Section 3 discusses the connection between demography and economic growth. Section 4 discusses alternative approaches and methods to make use of demographic–economic connections and the scope for combination forecasts in order to allow for long-run features. Section 5 summarizes the discussion.

Keywords: economic forecasting, GDP, demography, economic growth

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