- Oxford Library of Psychology
- [UNTITLED]
- Oxford Library of Psychology
- About the Editor
- Contributors
- Introduction to the Handbook
- Perceptual Organization in Vision
- Object Recognition
- Face Recognition
- Eye Movements
- Event Perception
- Perception and Attention
- Spatial Attention
- Disorders of Attention
- The Nature and Status of Visual Resources
- Automaticity
- Unconscious Processes
- Episodic Memory
- Semantic Memory
- Implicit Memory
- The Sources of Memory Errors
- Through the SCAPE Looking Glass-Sources of Performance and Sources of Attribution
- Event-Based Prospective Remembering: An Integration of Prospective Memory and Cognitive Control Theories
- Metamemory
- Memory in Educational Settings
- The Nature of Mental Concepts
- Culture, Expertise, and Mental Categories
- Models of Categorization
- The Perceptual Representation of Mental Categories
- Mental Images
- Speech Perception
- Spoken Word Recognition
- Basic Processes in Reading
- Text Comprehension
- Discourse Comprehension
- Early Word Learning
- Relations Between Language and Thought
- The Evolution of Language
- Emotion Perception: Putting the Face in Context
- Emotion, Stress, and Memory
- Emotion–Cognition Interactions
- An Emotion Regulation Perspective on Belief Change
- Judgment Under Uncertainty
- Induction
- Reasoning
- The Mental Models Perspective
- Analogical Learning and Reasoning
- Decision Making
- Affective Forecasting and Well-Being
- Spatial Reasoning
- Causal Reasoning
- Moral Thinking
- Problem Solving
- Insight
- Creativity
- Contemporary Theories of Intelligence
- Genes and Intelligence
- Cognitive Style
- Planning and Performing Physical Actions
- The Psychology of Practice: Lessons From Spatial Cognition
- Experts and Their Superior Performance
- Self-Knowledge
- Person Perception
- Theory of Mind
- Attitude Change
- Cultural Differences and Their Mechanisms
- The Development of Cognitive Control From Infancy Through Childhood
- The Development of Attention
- Cognitive Aging
- Epilogue: Looking Forward
- Index
Abstract and Keywords
Every decision requires a prediction, both about what will happen and about how the decider will about what happens. Thus, decisions require what is known as . This chapter reviews evidence that people systematically mispredict the way experiences will feel. First, predictions about the future are often based on memories of the past, but memories of the past are often inaccurate. Second, people predict that the affective quality of experiences will last, thereby neglecting the widespread phenomenon of adaptation. Third, in anticipating an experience, people focus on aspects of their lives that will be changed by the experience and ignore aspects of their lives that will be unaffected. Fourth, decisions are profoundly affected by the choice context, even though the choice context will no longer be relevant when the chosen object is actually experienced. Each of these affective forecasting “errors” can lead people to mispredict satisfaction with decisions.
Keywords: affective forecasting, decision making, subjective experience, misprediction, rational choice
Barry Schwartz, Department of Psychology, Swarthmore College, Swarthmore, PA
Roseanna Sommers, Department of Psychology, Swarthmore College, Swarthmore, PA
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- Oxford Library of Psychology
- [UNTITLED]
- Oxford Library of Psychology
- About the Editor
- Contributors
- Introduction to the Handbook
- Perceptual Organization in Vision
- Object Recognition
- Face Recognition
- Eye Movements
- Event Perception
- Perception and Attention
- Spatial Attention
- Disorders of Attention
- The Nature and Status of Visual Resources
- Automaticity
- Unconscious Processes
- Episodic Memory
- Semantic Memory
- Implicit Memory
- The Sources of Memory Errors
- Through the SCAPE Looking Glass-Sources of Performance and Sources of Attribution
- Event-Based Prospective Remembering: An Integration of Prospective Memory and Cognitive Control Theories
- Metamemory
- Memory in Educational Settings
- The Nature of Mental Concepts
- Culture, Expertise, and Mental Categories
- Models of Categorization
- The Perceptual Representation of Mental Categories
- Mental Images
- Speech Perception
- Spoken Word Recognition
- Basic Processes in Reading
- Text Comprehension
- Discourse Comprehension
- Early Word Learning
- Relations Between Language and Thought
- The Evolution of Language
- Emotion Perception: Putting the Face in Context
- Emotion, Stress, and Memory
- Emotion–Cognition Interactions
- An Emotion Regulation Perspective on Belief Change
- Judgment Under Uncertainty
- Induction
- Reasoning
- The Mental Models Perspective
- Analogical Learning and Reasoning
- Decision Making
- Affective Forecasting and Well-Being
- Spatial Reasoning
- Causal Reasoning
- Moral Thinking
- Problem Solving
- Insight
- Creativity
- Contemporary Theories of Intelligence
- Genes and Intelligence
- Cognitive Style
- Planning and Performing Physical Actions
- The Psychology of Practice: Lessons From Spatial Cognition
- Experts and Their Superior Performance
- Self-Knowledge
- Person Perception
- Theory of Mind
- Attitude Change
- Cultural Differences and Their Mechanisms
- The Development of Cognitive Control From Infancy Through Childhood
- The Development of Attention
- Cognitive Aging
- Epilogue: Looking Forward
- Index