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date: 09 April 2020

Abstract and Keywords

This article finds it characteristic of orthodox Bayesians to hold that for each person and each hypothesis it comprehends, there is a precise degree of confidence that person has in the truth of that proposition, and that no person can be counted as rational unless the degree of confidence assignment it thus harbors satisfies the axioms of the probability calculus. In focusing exclusively on degrees of confidence, the Bayesian approach tells nothing about the epistemic status of the doxastic states epistemologists have traditionally been concerned about—categorical beliefs. The purpose of this article is twofold. First, it aims to show that, as powerful as many of such criticisms are against orthodox Bayesianism, there is a credible kind of Bayesianism. Second, it aims to show how this Bayesianism finds a foundation in considerations concerning rational preference.

Keywords: Bayesians, hypothesis, probability calculus, doxastic states, epistemologists

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